Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.166737 0.178559 0.190924 0.204845 0.220111 0.236372 0.255045
2026-01-11 0.145160 0.162220 0.181082 0.203591 0.229863 0.259729 0.296496
2026-01-18 0.131461 0.150987 0.173368 0.201128 0.234931 0.275138 0.327158
2026-01-25 0.120806 0.141715 0.166362 0.197883 0.237596 0.286614 0.352725
2026-02-01 0.115751 0.138414 0.165822 0.201880 0.248785 0.308762 0.392981
2026-02-08 0.108867 0.132211 0.161035 0.199846 0.251692 0.319989 0.419264
2026-02-15 0.103794 0.127851 0.158127 0.199785 0.256841 0.334163 0.450377
2026-02-22 0.097848 0.121956 0.152786 0.195984 0.256422 0.340350 0.470225
2026-03-01 0.093686 0.118116 0.149849 0.195117 0.259804 0.351860 0.498603
2026-03-08 0.090669 0.115596 0.148473 0.196207 0.265867 0.367469 0.534396
2026-03-15 0.086530 0.111338 0.144473 0.193295 0.265809 0.373803 0.555886
2026-03-22 0.083239 0.108071 0.141648 0.191844 0.267717 0.383097 0.582809
2026-03-29 0.081459 0.106847 0.141665 0.194591 0.276232 0.403459 0.630639
2026-04-05 0.078564 0.103935 0.139145 0.193425 0.278617 0.414201 0.662956
2026-04-12 0.075548 0.100712 0.136009 0.191119 0.278986 0.421549 0.689765
2026-04-19 0.072532 0.097364 0.132532 0.188081 0.277935 0.426347 0.712203
2026-04-26 0.071621 0.097011 0.133424 0.191823 0.288106 0.450963 0.774746
2026-05-03 0.069238 0.094405 0.130834 0.189919 0.288728 0.458870 0.805386
2026-05-10 0.067487 0.092661 0.129459 0.189862 0.292421 0.472459 0.848892
2026-05-17 0.064950 0.089653 0.126033 0.186303 0.289845 0.474354 0.868182
2026-05-24 0.063235 0.087821 0.124342 0.185491 0.291987 0.485116 0.907522
2026-05-31 0.062055 0.086753 0.123785 0.186512 0.297402 0.502435 0.963257
2026-06-07 0.060057 0.084369 0.121075 0.183784 0.295886 0.506194 0.988731